6 Months of AQAP's Escalation Against the Southern Forces

AQAP has remarkably escalated its attacks against the Southern forces since the beginning of this year. Until June 21, "South24 Center" documented about 31 attacks in the governorates of Abyan and Shabwa carried out by the extremist group.

The attacks left dozens dead and wounded within the ranks of the Southern forces. On the other hand, many AQAP members lost their lives. The group launched direct attacks through armed elements, explosive devices, and mines. It also used drones in Shabwa governorate in a development that was described as "dangerous".

The Southern forces repelled some attacks. However, those remotely directed attacks with explosive devices and mines have continued causing loss of lives and materiel amid the lack of a clear strategy to confront them.

The escalation came after a series of unprecedented defeats that hit the group at the hand of the Southern forces over the last months of the past year. This was as part of the "Arrows of the East" military operation by which the group lost most of its strongholds in the central areas of the governorate, especially "Wadi Oemran".

From the beginning of 2023 till today, AQAP attacks against the Southern forces are about 31 separate operations in Abyan and Shabwa. The group claimed responsibility for carrying out these attacks in official statements on its media platform "Al-Malahim".

"South24 Center" concluded that AQAP carried out 17 attacks in Abyan and 14 attacks in Shabwa. Most of the attacks were concentrated in “Mudiyah district" in the center of Abyan governorate and Al-Masaniah area in the Al-Saeed district in Shabwa.

 

The attacks reached their peak in May with 9 attacks. In June, the group launched 7 attacks. In January, it carried out 5 attacks in addition to 8 attacks in February and March. In April, they were limited to just 2 attacks.

17 of 31 attacks were carried out by 18 explosive devices. The group used drones five times in Shabwa governorate, the first of which was on May 12 in Al-Masaniah area.

Moreover, the AQAP carried out 5 attacks through armed members in Abyan and Shabwa governorates who attacked security checkpoints. The extremist group used mortars, an explosive motorcycle, a land mine, and a direct clash with the Southern security campaign to carry out 4 other attacks.

 

AQAP attacks left about 28 dead and 52 injured with a total of at least 80 soldiers affiliated with several forms of the Southern forces including the "Security Belt Forces", "Abyan Military Axis", the "Backup and Support Brigades" and the Shabwa Defense Forces.